Las Vegas completes the fifth most (25.2), increasing that to 25.4 on the road. Cincinnati allows the NFL’s third most completions per game (24.7), a number that spikes to 25.1 in its home games. These two teams seem a solid pairing to offer Carr the opportunity to complete a lot of passes, especially in what should be a tightly contested playoff game. Las Vegas sits sixth in the league in that category and is unlikely to get held down again by the NFL’s seventh worst pass defense. The Bengals allowed 24 or more completions in 10 of their 17 games this year, including in seven of their eight home games.Ĭincinnati did hold Carr below this prop number when the two sides met earlier in the season, but otherwise, the only teams that threw for at least 24 completions against the Bengals were ranked 13th or worse in passing yards per game. On the other side, Cincinnati has been a generally obliging victim for opposing quarterbacks looking for high completion numbers. Remove those outings and he actually would have won this prop in five of his six games as a non-division dog.ĭEREK CARR. The thing is, most of those failures were in division games. His percentage of reaching 24 or more completions dipped as an underdog, accomplishing the feat in seven of 12 efforts. When you break that statistic down a bit further, you find that Carr would have cashed this prop in six of his eight road games and was pretty balanced in doing so in both wins and losses, topping this number in seven of the Raiders’ 10 wins and four of their seven losses. Derek Carr, who also owns the fifth best completion percentage in football, has topped this prop’s requirement in 11 of his team’s 17 games this year, including five of the last seven. This seems like an awfully low prop total for the quarterback who threw the NFL’s seventh most passes per game, completing the fifth most this season. Bengals Player Props Picks Derek Carr Over 23.5 Completions Trailing 6-3, the Bengals took advantage of two penalties on the Raiders defense and went 72 yards in 12 plays, culminating with an 11-yard touchdown run by Mixon.Īfter 53- and 51-yard field goals by McPherson, the Raiders finally found the end zone early in the fourth quarter, when Carr found Moreau for a 19-yard TD strike to get Las Vegas within 16-13.Īfter Chase’s touchdown made it 22-13, Carr was intercepted by Eli Apple and two plays later Mixon added the exclamation point with a 20-yard run to the end zone that put the game out of reach.IN BONUS BETS GET IT NOW! Raiders vs. Things started off well for the Raiders after Yannick Ngakoue gifted the offense when his strip-sack fumble on the Bengals’ first drive ended up in the hands of Dallin Leavitt, who returned the ball 32 yards to the Cincinnati 9-yard-line.īut the Raiders, who entered Week 11 ranked 26th in converting red zone opportunities into touchdowns, mustered just 1 yard on their opening drive and settled for a field goal. The Raiders have been outscored 96-43 since their bye week. Las Vegas failed to convert on its first six third-down attempts -a stretch of 14 straight over two games from last week’s loss to Kansas City - until Carr hit Hunter Renfrow for 8 yards on a third-and-2 with two minutes left in the game.Ī conversion too late, as it turned out, as Carr was sacked on the next two plays, fumbled on the second one, and watched the Bengals wrap up the win. Tight end Darren Waller caught seven passes for 116 yards, while his backup Foster Moreau’s lone catch was a 19-yard touchdown. Raiders quarterback Derek Carr finished 19 of 27 for 215 yards, one touchdown and one interception.
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